Special Market Betting Odds 2022 – Exotic Bets
The past two years have been eventful with the pandemic throwing into turmoil project betting odds for niche markets. This year, we examine what the odds are saying as the outcomes of some big events.
We have used data from prediction markets to give us a projection of 2022. Sifting through the leading betting exchanges – Betfair, Metaculus, PredictIT and Smarkets, we have created a betting guide for the future.
What are the odds of Russia invading Ukraine? Will the US inflation rate persist? Can Tom Brady win another Super Bowl?
List of Special Market Betting Odds
| Event | Odds |
| US box-office revenues fall short of $11.3b | 95% |
| Republicans win House of Representatives | 82% |
| Norway wins the most gold medals at Winter Olympics | 73% |
| Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva becomes president of Brazil | 68% |
| 6.5bn covid vaccinations are given globally for the year | 63% |
| Emmanuel Macron wins presidency of France | 63% |
| Deaths from Covid exceeds 2.5 million for the year | 53% |
| USA inflation rate excees 4% | 52% |
| USA economy grows at less than 3% | 46% |
| Boris Johnson relinquishes office at 10 Downing St | 46% |
| Omicron is the dominant variant by end of 2022 | 44% |
| Russia invades Ukraine | 43% |
| Bitcoin price exceeds $70k by end of year | 40% |
| Tech firms account for more than 25% of S&P 500 market value | 35% |
| 400k or more American die from Covid during the year | 32% |
| West Side Story wins best picture at the Oscars | 24% |
| Crude oil prices falls below $60 per barrel at end of year | 21% |
| 2022 is the hottest year on record | 25% |
| Brazil wins the FIFA World Cup | 14% |
| Tom Brady wins Super Bowl with Tampa Bay | 12% |
| Manny Pacquiao wins presidency of Philippines | 9% |
